Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 4Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Francistown Stadium, Francistown
The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Equatorial Guinea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zimbabwe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Zimbabwe (1,462) and Equatorial Guinea (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zimbabwe
4-4-2- 20T. Chirewa
- 9T. Ngwenya
- 8M. Munetsi
- 18M. Nakamba
- 19Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 14B. Antonio
- 4M. Garananga
- 2Shane Maroodza
- 10A. Rinomhota
- 12C. Mthunzi
- 1E. Chipezeze
Equatorial Guinea
4-4-2- 9Dorian Hanza
- 10Loren Zúñiga
- 14Álex Balboa
- 22Pablo Ganet
- 20Santiago Eneme
- 4Féderico Bikoro
- 16Saúl Coco
- 21Esteban Obiang
- 12Charles Ondo
- 24Rony Mbomio
- 1Jesús Owono
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Equatorial Guinea have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Congo DR(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 30, 2026 | India(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbabwe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zimbabwe sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Equatorial Guinea sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Equatorial Guinea.
- Where and when is Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea played?
- Zimbabwe vs Equatorial Guinea is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Francistown Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.