Central African Republic vs Benin: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 4Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, Bafoussam
The Footlab model makes Central African Republic the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Benin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central African Republic vs Benin?
Benin starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,488 vs 1,352).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central African Republic have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Benin have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Angola(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Togo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Chad(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Ghana(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Togo(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Niger(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Liberia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Egypt(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Central African Republic score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Benin score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central African Republic | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Benin | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Central African Republic sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 6 matches) and Benin sit 2nd (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Central African Republic | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central African Republic vs Benin?
- The Footlab model makes Central African Republic the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Benin.
- Where and when is Central African Republic vs Benin played?
- Central African Republic vs Benin is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Omnisports de Bafoussam, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.