Tapatío vs Tepatitlán: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 10Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
Full time
What was the result of Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?
Tapatío won 4-1 on October 13, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′V. MoragregaTapatío
- 22′V. MoragregaTapatío
- 26′J. CruzTepatitlán
- 36′D. VillasecaTapatío
- 87′Gael GarcíaTapatío
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tapatío win at 66%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapatío have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tepatitlán have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | CA La Paz(home) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cancún(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Monarcas(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 3, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Venados FC(away) | 0-5 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dorados(home) | 1-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tapatío win, 2 draws, 3 Tepatitlán wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tepatitlán 2-0 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Tapatío 1-3 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Tepatitlán 1-0 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Tapatío 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tapatío 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs Tapatío on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tapatío score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tepatitlán score 0.9 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapatío | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tepatitlán | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapatío sit 11th in Liga de Expansión MX (14 points from 11 matches) and Tepatitlán sit 16th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tapatío | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 7 |
A question about Tapatío vs Tepatitlán?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy