Tlaxcala vs Cancún: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
Full time
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Tlaxcala won 4-1 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′C. TrejoCancún
- 33′D. ÁlvarezTlaxcala (pen.)
- 68′E. RoblesTlaxcala
- 87′M. RamírezTlaxcala
- 90′E. RoblesTlaxcala
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tlaxcala win at 39%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Tlaxcala vs Cancún
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tlaxcala
- 9Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira Silva
- 11D. Álvarez
- 24E. Robles
- 6A. Iniestra
- 23P. González
- 1I. Govea
- 3E. Santos
- 21E. García
- 25B. Flores
- 29M. Trejo
- 22N. Bedolla
Cancún
- 2A. Álvarez
- 8F. Melendre
- 11C. Trejo
- 12J. Rodríguez
- 14K. Campos
- 5A. Chávez
- 10P. Uscanga
- 3J. Hernandez
- 4R. Reyes
- 33L. Ruiz
- 1E. Arce
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tlaxcala have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Cancún have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tapatío(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tepatitlán(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Dorados(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(home) | 6-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 28, 2026 | CA La Paz(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tlaxcala wins, 1 draw, 2 Cancún wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Tlaxcala 1-0 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Cancún 3-0 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Tlaxcala 1-1 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cancún 5-2 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Tlaxcala 1-0 Cancún | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Cancún 1-2 Tlaxcala | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tlaxcala score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cancún score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tlaxcala | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cancún | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tlaxcala sit 10th in Liga de Expansión MX (15 points from 12 matches) and Cancún sit 6th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cancún | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 15 |
A question about Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy