Burgos vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Burgos (2,008) and Sporting Gijon (1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos wins, 0 draws, 3 Sporting Gijon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 2-3 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 2-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Burgos 0-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Gijon vs Burgos on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Burgos vs Sporting Gijon is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.