Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United played?

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge Angels

Ebbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,771) and Ebbsfleet United (1,812).

Tonbridge Angels win35 %

Draw25 %

Ebbsfleet United win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Truro City(home)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Dover(away)	1-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Torquay(home)	1-2	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Braintree(away)	4-0	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne Borough(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 3, 2026	Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Dec 26, 2025	Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South
Jul 23, 2024	Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Ebbsfleet United	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2023	Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet United	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 11, 2023	Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Nov 12, 2022	Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Tonbridge Angels	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Tonbridge Angels	4	2	0	2	6	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United?: The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United played?: Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet United is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.