Tottenham vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Manchester United?
Manchester United starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,222 vs 2,121).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tottenham vs Manchester United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 37K. Mainoo
- 9M. Rashford
- 6Lisandro Martínez
- 5H. Maguire
- 15L. Yoro
- 23L. Shaw
- 1S. Lammens
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Manchester United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tottenham wins, 2 draws, 1 Manchester United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Tottenham 2-2 Manchester United | Premier League |
| May 21, 2025 | Tottenham 1-0 Manchester United | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Tottenham 1-0 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Tottenham 4-3 Manchester United | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Tottenham on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 19th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Manchester United sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Tottenham vs Manchester United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Manchester United played?
- Tottenham vs Manchester United is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.