Brighton vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Liverpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton vs Liverpool?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Brighton (2,287) and Liverpool (2,265).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brighton vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Liverpool have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brighton wins, 0 draws, 4 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Brighton 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Liverpool 3-0 Brighton | FA Cup |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Liverpool 2-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| May 19, 2025 | Brighton 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Liverpool 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Brighton 2-3 Liverpool | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Brighton vs Liverpool on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2.4 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 10/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 3rd in Premier League (13 points from 6 matches) and Liverpool sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Brighton vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Liverpool.
- Where and when is Brighton vs Liverpool played?
- Brighton vs Liverpool is played on May 23, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.