Tromso vs Haugesund: prediction and stats
NM CupenRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Romssa Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab AI model makes Haugesund the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Tromso. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tromso vs Haugesund?
On Elo ratings, Tromso has 2,013 points and Haugesund 1,925.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tromso vs Haugesund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 5D. Edvardsson
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 25C. Øyvann
- 1J. Haugaard
Haugesund
4-3-3- 11N. Sandberg
- 29S. Diarra
- 30I. Camara
- 14S. Heltne Nilsen
- 16Bruno Leite
- 41L. Remmem
- 3S. Molde
- 18V. Solheim
- 42A. Bondhus
- 23J. Norbye
- 32F. Stople
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tromso have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Haugesund have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | hodd(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 0-5 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lyn(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tromso wins, 0 draws, 2 Haugesund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Haugesund 2-3 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Tromso 1-0 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Haugesund 2-0 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Tromso 0-1 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Tromso 2-1 Haugesund | Eliteserien |
| May 29, 2023 | Haugesund 1-2 Tromso | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Tromso score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Haugesund score 3.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Haugesund | 3.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Tromso vs Haugesund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tromso vs Haugesund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Haugesund the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Tromso.
- Where and when is Tromso vs Haugesund played?
- Tromso vs Haugesund is played on October 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Romssa Arena, in the NM Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.