Troszyn vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troszyn vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Mławianka Mława (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Troszyn win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława 2-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Troszyn 2-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Mławianka Mława vs Troszyn on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Troszyn vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Troszyn vs Mławianka Mława is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWeszlo
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWarta Sieradz
- Apr 10, 2027SwitvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 10, 2027Widzew IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 10, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁomża