Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Swit (1,690) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swit win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swit 2-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2024 | Swit 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Swit.
- Where and when is Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWeszlo
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWarta Sieradz
- Apr 10, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 10, 2027TroszynvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 10, 2027Widzew IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 10, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁomża