Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swit wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,714 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Swit (1,658) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swit
Not enough data to predict the Swit lineup.
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Not enough data to predict the Lechia T. Mazowiecki lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-7 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Swit wins, 2 draws, 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swit 2-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2024 | Swit 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (26 points from 15 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 14th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swit | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 17 |
A question about Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swit the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Swit vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWeszlo
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWarta Sieradz
- Apr 10, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 10, 2027TroszynvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 10, 2027Widzew IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 10, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁomża