Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Łomża?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Łomża 3-0 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Łomża played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Łomża is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWeszlo
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWarta Sieradz
- Apr 10, 2027SwitvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 10, 2027TroszynvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 10, 2027Widzew IIvsWigry Suwałki