Match

UD Logroñés vs Cacereño: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño

UD LogroñésCacereño

The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Logroñés wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Logroñés vs Cacereño?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,932).

55%26%19%
UD Logroñés winDrawCacereño win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Cacereño

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Logroñés

4-3-3
  1. 21Ismael Santana
  2. 11Marcos Baselga
  3. 19I. Asenjo
  1. 14David Navarro
  2. 20Anai Morales
  3. 6Mario Maroto
  1. 3Sergio Camacho
  2. 5A. Alvarez
  3. 4Eduardo Cabetas
  4. 22Carlos García-Die
  1. 13Fermín Sobrón

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Cacereño have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Lugo(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Mérida AD(away)5-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026Pontevedra(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Ourense(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion

How many goals should we expect?

UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Logroñés2.10.969/1510/15
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Logroñés sit 2nd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 7 matches) and Cacereño sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2UD Logroñés7511161016
5Cacereño73317412

A question about UD Logroñés vs Cacereño?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Cacereño?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Cacereño.
Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Cacereño played?
UD Logroñés vs Cacereño is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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