Match

UD Ourense vs Mirandes: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense

UD OurenseMirandes

The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Mirandes. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Ourense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Ourense vs Mirandes?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate UD Ourense (1,931) and Mirandes (1,906).

40%29%31%
UD Ourense winDrawMirandes win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Ourense vs Mirandes

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Ourense

4-3-3
  1. 10David Ferreiro
  2. 17Xabi Dominguez
  3. 11Sergi Baldrich
  1. 14R. Martinez
  2. 22D. Tejon
  3. 16Álvaro Bastida
  1. 4J. Labrada
  2. 5Varo
  3. 6N. Gonzalez
  4. 3Julio Cabrera
  1. 1Manuel Vizoso

Mirandes

4-3-3
  1. 11Aitor Uzkudun
  2. 9I. Unzueta
  3. 18Rodri
  1. 16Markel Lozano
  2. 19Ricardo de Moraes
  3. 7D. de la Iglesia
  1. 22Martín Aguirregabiria
  2. 21Aritz Arambarri
  3. 8R. Martinez
  4. 4C. Navarro
  1. 1Jesús Ruiz

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:57 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Ourense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandes have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Ourense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Real Unión(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Cacereño(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Zamora(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Unión(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mérida AD(away)4-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 UD Ourense wins, 0 draws, 1 Mirandes win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Mirandes 2-0 UD OurensePrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mirandes vs UD Ourense on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Ourense1.01.156/156/15
Mirandes1.31.156/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Ourense sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 7 matches) and Mirandes sit 6th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Mirandes732210811
19UD Ourense71243105

A question about UD Ourense vs Mirandes?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Ourense vs Mirandes?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Mirandes.
Where and when is UD Ourense vs Mirandes played?
UD Ourense vs Mirandes is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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