Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gal, Irún
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Unión wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Real Unión (1,976) and Racing Ferrol (1,887).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Unión
4-3-3- 20Ander Martín
- 7Unai García
- 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
- 23Sangalli
- 6B. Gaubeka
- 22Juan de la Mata
- 2Javi Fontán
- 4Jordi Pola
- 8P. Alvarez
- 3Álvaro Mateo
- 1Jon Tena
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Athletic Club II(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Real Unión wins, 0 draws, 3 Racing Ferrol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 3-2 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 2-1 Real Unión | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Real Unión 0-3 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Unión score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Unión | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Unión sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Real Unión | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol played?
- Real Unión vs Racing Ferrol is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gal, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.