Match

Udinese vs AC Milan: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Bluenergy Stadium, Udine

UdineseAC Milan

The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Udinese. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?

AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,145 vs 2,004).

27%27%46%
Udinese winDrawAC Milan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Udinese vs AC Milan

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Udinese

3-4-2-1
  1. 32J. Ekkelenkamp
  1. 23M. Vojvoda
  2. 8J. Karlström
  3. 11H. Kamara
  4. 38L. Miller
  5. 24J. Piotrowski
  6. 6Oier Zarraga
  1. 77E. Ebosse
  2. 14J. Abankwah
  3. 27C. Kabasele
  1. 40M. Okoye

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  1. 21S. Chukwueze
  2. 14L. Modrić
  3. 2P. Estupiñán
  4. 12A. Rabiot
  5. 80Y. Musah
  6. 33D. Bartesaghi
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 5K. De Winter
  3. 34Mario Gila
  1. 16M. Maignan

Known absences

  • C. PulišićOut · Calf injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Udinese have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AC Milan have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Udinese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Cagliari(home)0-1Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Inter(away)3-5Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Lazio(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Venezia(home)2-1Coppa Italia
AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Lazio(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Juventus(away)1-1Serie A
Aug 28, 2026Venezia(home)2-0Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Udinese wins, 0 draws, 4 AC Milan wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026AC Milan 0-3 UdineseSerie A
Sep 20, 2025Udinese 0-3 AC MilanSerie A
Apr 11, 2025Udinese 0-4 AC MilanSerie A
Oct 19, 2024AC Milan 1-0 UdineseSerie A
Jan 20, 2024Udinese 2-3 AC MilanSerie A
Nov 4, 2023AC Milan 0-1 UdineseSerie A

Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Udinese on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Udinese1.21.538/156/15
AC Milan1.51.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Udinese sit 13th in Serie A (4 points from 5 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5AC Milan532010411
13Udinese51138114

A question about Udinese vs AC Milan?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Udinese vs AC Milan?
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Udinese.
Where and when is Udinese vs AC Milan played?
Udinese vs AC Milan is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Bluenergy Stadium, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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