Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Luzino win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Unia Swarzędz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Luzino 3-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 1-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2024 | Luzino 1-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz played?
- Luzino vs Unia Swarzędz is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsNoteć Czarnków
- Apr 10, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsElana Toruń
- Apr 10, 2027KaliszvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Apr 10, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLipno Stęszew
- Apr 10, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsGrom Nowy Staw
- Apr 10, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsWda Świecie
- Apr 10, 2027Victoria WrześniavsStargard Szczeciński
- Apr 10, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsGedania Gdansk