Match

Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia ŚrodaNoteć Czarnków

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,678).

62%21%17%
Polonia Środa winDrawNoteć Czarnków win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Noteć Czarnków

Not enough data to predict the Noteć Czarnków lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Noteć Czarnków have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Victoria Września(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polonia Środa win, 2 draws, 3 Noteć Czarnków wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Noteć Czarnków 0-0 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
May 13, 2026Noteć Czarnków 2-0 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2025Polonia Środa 2-6 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 1, 2025Noteć Czarnków 2-4 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 10, 2024Polonia Środa 2-2 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 2, 2024Noteć Czarnków 3-1 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Polonia Środa on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15
Noteć Czarnków1.21.266/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 9th (21 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
9Noteć Czarnków16637212321

A question about Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków played?
Polonia Środa vs Noteć Czarnków is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Środa and Noteć Czarnków

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