Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar, La Calera
The Footlab model makes Union La Calera the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Deportes Limache. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Union La Calera (1,701) and Deportes Limache (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Deportes Limache have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 1-3 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Union La Calera win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Deportes Limache win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Deportes Limache 4-0 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Union La Calera 0-1 Deportes Limache | Primera División |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Deportes Limache 0-1 Union La Calera | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Limache vs Union La Calera on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union La Calera score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Limache score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportes Limache | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union La Calera sit 16th in Primera División (12 points from 15 matches) and Deportes Limache sit 9th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 21 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
- The Footlab model makes Union La Calera the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Deportes Limache.
- Where and when is Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache played?
- Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.