A. Italiano vs O'Higgins: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes A. Italiano the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for O'Higgins. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A. Italiano vs O'Higgins?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate A. Italiano (1,756) and O'Higgins (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Italiano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; O'Higgins have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportes Limache(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 A. Italiano win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 O'Higgins win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | O'Higgins 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2025 | O'Higgins 3-2 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2025 | A. Italiano 1-0 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2024 | A. Italiano 2-0 O'Higgins | Primera División |
| May 6, 2024 | O'Higgins 0-5 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | O'Higgins 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: O'Higgins vs A. Italiano on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
A. Italiano score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; O'Higgins score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| O'Higgins | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A. Italiano sit 13th in Primera División (16 points from 15 matches) and O'Higgins sit 10th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A. Italiano vs O'Higgins?
- The Footlab model makes A. Italiano the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for O'Higgins.
- Where and when is A. Italiano vs O'Higgins played?
- A. Italiano vs O'Higgins is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.