Palestino vs U. Catolica: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Palestino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palestino vs U. Catolica?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Palestino (1,775) and U. Catolica (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palestino have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; U. Catolica have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Palestino win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 U. Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | U. Catolica 6-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Nov 22, 2025 | U. Catolica 2-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Palestino 1-1 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Mar 5, 2025 | U. Catolica 1-1 Palestino | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 3, 2024 | U. Catolica 1-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Palestino 0-2 U. Catolica | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Palestino on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palestino score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| U. Catolica | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palestino sit 5th in Primera División (24 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palestino vs U. Catolica?
- The Footlab model makes U. Catolica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Palestino.
- Where and when is Palestino vs U. Catolica played?
- Palestino vs U. Catolica is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.