Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Cobre, El Salvador, Diego de Almagro
The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Cobresal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
Coquimbo Unido starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobresal have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Coquimbo Unido have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | D. La Serena(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Concepción(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cobresal win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Coquimbo Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 3-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Cobresal 1-2 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 0-0 Cobresal | Copa Chile |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 1-1 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Cobresal 0-2 Coquimbo Unido | Copa Chile |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Coquimbo Unido 2-0 Cobresal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Coquimbo Unido vs Cobresal on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobresal score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Coquimbo Unido score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobresal sit 15th in Primera División (13 points from 15 matches) and Coquimbo Unido sit 4th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Coquimbo Unido the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Cobresal.
- Where and when is Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido played?
- Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Cobre, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.