Nublense vs Everton de Vina: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Everton de Vina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Nublense (1,808) and Everton de Vina (1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Everton de Vina have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | A. Italiano(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huachipato(away) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nublense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Everton de Vina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Everton de Vina 0-0 Nublense | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Nublense 1-0 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Everton de Vina 1-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Nublense 1-1 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Everton de Vina 3-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Nublense 1-0 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Everton de Vina vs Nublense on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Everton de Vina score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Everton de Vina | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Everton de Vina sit 7th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 6 | Everton de Vina | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 30 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
- The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Everton de Vina.
- Where and when is Nublense vs Everton de Vina played?
- Nublense vs Everton de Vina is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.