Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Cartagena LU II
Not enough data to predict the Cartagena LU II lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bala Azul(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Algar(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Unión Molinense wins, 0 draws, 1 Cartagena LU II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cartagena LU II 2-4 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Unión Molinense 0-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 1-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 0-2 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Unión Molinense 1-0 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Cartagena LU II vs Unión Molinense on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cartagena LU II | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (15 points from 9 matches) and Cartagena LU II sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Molinense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Cartagena LU II | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II played?
- Unión Molinense vs Cartagena LU II is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.