Santa Cruz vs San Javier: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for San Javier. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs San Javier?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,774) and San Javier (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Cruz vs San Javier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
San Javier
Not enough data to predict the San Javier lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; San Javier have 4, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Algar(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Santa Cruz wins, 0 draws, 1 San Javier win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Javier 3-2 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: San Javier vs Santa Cruz on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Javier score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| San Javier | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (18 points from 9 matches) and San Javier sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | San Javier | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Santa Cruz vs San Javier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs San Javier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for San Javier.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs San Javier played?
- Santa Cruz vs San Javier is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027El PalmarvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 17, 2027Los GarresvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 17, 2027SFC MinervavsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 17, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSantomera
- Jan 17, 2027Bala AzulvsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 17, 2027AlcantarillavsÁguilas II
- Jan 17, 2027Unión MolinensevsCartagena LU II
- Jan 17, 2027AlgarvsAtlético Pulpileño