Alcantarilla vs Águilas II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla
The Footlab AI model makes Águilas II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águilas II wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcantarilla vs Águilas II?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,602).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcantarilla vs Águilas II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcantarilla
4-3-3- 19Bruno Tomás
- JJuan López
- LLuis Hueva
- NNico Varela
- GGonzalo Rodríguez
- PPedro López
- TTekio
- MMigue Marín
- SSalvi
- LLuis Manzanera
- 13Antonio Gallego
Águilas II
Not enough data to predict the Águilas II lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Águilas II have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Algar(away) | 7-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Alcantarilla win, 1 draw, 1 Águilas II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Águilas II 1-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 4, 2025 | Alcantarilla 2-1 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Águilas II 5-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs Alcantarilla on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcantarilla score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcantarilla | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Águilas II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcantarilla sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (9 points from 8 matches) and Águilas II sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Águilas II | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 14 | Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
A question about Alcantarilla vs Águilas II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs Águilas II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águilas II the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Águilas II played?
- Alcantarilla vs Águilas II is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027El PalmarvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 17, 2027Los GarresvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 17, 2027SFC MinervavsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 17, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSantomera
- Jan 17, 2027Bala AzulvsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 17, 2027Unión MolinensevsCartagena LU II
- Jan 17, 2027AlgarvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 17, 2027Santa CruzvsSan Javier