Universitario vs Sport Boys: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental, Lima
The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sport Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitario vs Sport Boys?
Universitario starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitario have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sport Boys have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Universitario win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sport Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Sport Boys 0-0 Universitario | Primera División |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Universitario 0-1 Sport Boys | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Universitario 1-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sport Boys 0-2 Universitario | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Universitario 3-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Sport Boys 1-2 Universitario | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sport Boys vs Universitario on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitario score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitario sit 4th in Primera División (29 points from 17 matches) and Sport Boys sit 11th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universitario | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Universitario | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Universitario | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitario vs Sport Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Sport Boys.
- Where and when is Universitario vs Sport Boys played?
- Universitario vs Sport Boys is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026Sporting CristalvsAlianza Lima
- Oct 28, 2026FBC MelgarvsComerciantes Unidos
- Oct 28, 2026Alianza AtleticovsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 28, 2026CiencianovsAtletico Grau
- Oct 28, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsCusco
- Oct 28, 2026ADTvsUCV Moquegua
- Oct 28, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsSport Huancayo
- Oct 28, 2026FC CajamarcavsUTC Cajamarca