Match

Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima

Sporting CristalAlianza Lima

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alianza Lima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Cristal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sporting Cristal (1,762) and Alianza Lima (1,779).

49%26%25%
Sporting Cristal winDrawAlianza Lima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting Cristal

4-4-2
  1. 22M. Hoyos
  2. 16L. Iberico
  1. 23M. Castro
  2. 7S. González
  3. 6A. Álvarez
  4. 19Y. Yotún
  1. 5R. Lutiger
  2. 8L. Sosa
  3. 20M. Araujo
  4. 90Cris Silva
  1. 1D. Enríquez

Alianza Lima

4-4-2
  1. 8E. Castillo
  2. 27K. Quevedo
  1. 7F. Gaibor
  2. 20J. Vélez
  3. 4G. Chávez
  4. 25G. Gentile
  1. 17L. Advíncula
  2. 6R. Garcés
  3. 13M. Huamán
  4. 3M. Antoni
  1. 1A. Duarte

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Alianza Lima have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Cristal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-0Primera División
Oct 1, 2026ADT(home)5-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 27, 2026ADT(away)1-0Copa De La Liga
Sep 19, 2026Atletico Grau(home)3-1Primera División
Sep 13, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)2-1Primera División
Alianza Lima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Cusco(away)2-1Primera División
Oct 1, 2026Palestino(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026ADT(home)2-0Primera División
Sep 13, 2026Universitario(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 6, 2026Juan Pablo II College(away)1-1Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sporting Cristal wins, 5 draws, 1 Alianza Lima win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Alianza Lima 1-1 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Dec 7, 2025Alianza Lima 3-3 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Dec 3, 2025Sporting Cristal 1-1 Alianza LimaPrimera División
Aug 6, 2025Alianza Lima 0-0 Sporting CristalPrimera División
Mar 2, 2025Sporting Cristal 1-2 Alianza LimaPrimera División
Aug 18, 2024Sporting Cristal 0-0 Alianza LimaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Cristal score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting Cristal2.00.867/158/15
Alianza Lima1.31.2311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Cristal sit 9th in Primera División (41 points from 28 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (59 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Alianza Lima281783461959
9Sporting Cristal2812511494041

A question about Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Alianza Lima.
Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima played?
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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