Where and when is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau played?

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cienciano

Atletico Grau

The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,621).

Cienciano win71 %

Draw19 %

Atletico Grau win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Grau have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cienciano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	1-5	Primera División
Aug 21, 2026	Botafogo(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(home)	0-0	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Botafogo(home)	6-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 6, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	0-1	Primera División

Atletico Grau
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Cajamarca(away)	3-1	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(home)	1-0	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(away)	0-0	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	0-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	0-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cienciano win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atletico Grau win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Atletico Grau 1-2 Cienciano	Primera División
Aug 24, 2025	Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Grau	Primera División
Apr 5, 2025	Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano	Primera División
Aug 17, 2024	Cienciano 1-0 Atletico Grau	Primera División
Mar 9, 2024	Atletico Grau 1-1 Cienciano	Primera División
Sep 30, 2023	Cienciano 2-0 Atletico Grau	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Atletico Grau vs Cienciano on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cienciano	1.6	1.3	4	7/15	7/15
Atletico Grau	1.2	0.9	4	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cienciano sit 3rd in Primera División (33 points from 17 matches) and Atletico Grau sit 16th (16 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
6	Cienciano	23	11	4	8	38	33	37
6	Atletico Grau	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
12	Atletico Grau	23	7	5	11	19	23	26
14	Atletico Grau	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
16	Cienciano	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
16	Cienciano	6	1	1	4	4	11	4
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12	18	16
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12	18	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?: The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Atletico Grau.
Where and when is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau played?: Cienciano vs Atletico Grau is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.