Match

Cienciano vs Atletico Grau: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

CiencianoAtletico Grau

The Footlab AI model makes Cienciano the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,724 vs 1,606).

71%18%11%
Cienciano winDrawAtletico Grau win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cienciano

4-2-3-1
  1. 21C. Garcés
  1. 11N. Bandiera
  2. 7C. Souza
  3. 29A. Robles
  4. 5S. Arias
  5. 88G. Barreto
  1. 3K. Becerra
  2. 4M. Amondarain
  3. 13C. Núñez
  4. 16M. Martinich
  1. 1G. Falcón

Atletico Grau

5-4-1
  1. 99A. Fernández
  1. 5R. Guarderas
  2. 13F. Oncoy
  3. 20A. Vásquez
  4. 7D. Barreto
  1. 27R. Tapia
  2. 3I. Tapia
  3. 25G. Alfaro
  4. 8C. Vásquez
  5. 2L. Acevedo
  1. 1P. Álvarez

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Grau have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cienciano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2026UCV Moquegua(away)2-0Primera División
Sep 30, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)1-1Primera División
Sep 23, 2026ADT(away)1-2Primera División
Sep 18, 2026Atletico Torque(away)0-3CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Sep 11, 2026Atletico Torque(home)2-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Atletico Grau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Alianza Lima(away)1-3Primera División
Oct 8, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home)0-0Primera División
Sep 19, 2026Sporting Cristal(away)1-3Primera División
Sep 13, 2026Alianza Atletico(home)3-1Primera División
Sep 6, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)2-4Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cienciano wins, 2 draws, 0 Atletico Grau wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Atletico Grau 1-2 CiencianoPrimera División
Aug 24, 2025Cienciano 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Apr 5, 2025Atletico Grau 1-1 CiencianoPrimera División
Aug 17, 2024Cienciano 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Mar 9, 2024Atletico Grau 1-1 CiencianoPrimera División
Sep 30, 2023Cienciano 2-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Atletico Grau vs Cienciano on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cienciano score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Grau score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cienciano1.71.356/157/15
Atletico Grau1.41.449/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cienciano sit 8th in Primera División (44 points from 28 matches) and Atletico Grau sit 13th (33 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Cienciano2813510484044
13Atletico Grau299614273433

A question about Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs Atletico Grau?
The Footlab AI model makes Cienciano the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Atletico Grau.
Where and when is Cienciano vs Atletico Grau played?
Cienciano vs Atletico Grau is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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