Where and when is ADT vs UCV Moquegua played?

ADT vs UCV Moquegua is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

ADT vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

ADT

UCV Moquegua

The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate ADT (1,599) and UCV Moquegua (1,607).

ADT win53 %

Draw25 %

UCV Moquegua win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ADT
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(away)	1-5	Primera División
Aug 15, 2026	Alianza Atletico(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(home)	0-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	0-2	Primera División

UCV Moquegua
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	0-2	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	FBC Melgar(home)	0-0	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	0-0	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ADT win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 UCV Moquegua win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UCV Moquegua 2-2 ADT	Primera División

Last archived meeting: UCV Moquegua vs ADT on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
ADT	1.2	1.3	4	8/15	7/15
UCV Moquegua	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ADT sit 10th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and UCV Moquegua sit 14th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22	21	20
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22	21	20
12	UCV Moquegua	6	1	4	1	5	5	7
13	UCV Moquegua	23	6	7	10	22	29	25
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
15	UCV Moquegua	4	0	3	1	2	4	3
16	ADT	23	5	7	11	26	33	22
18	ADT	4	0	1	3	2	6	1
18	ADT	6	0	2	4	4	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?: The Footlab model makes ADT the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for UCV Moquegua.
Where and when is ADT vs UCV Moquegua played?: ADT vs UCV Moquegua is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.