ADT vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes ADT the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
On Elo ratings, ADT has 1,552 points and UCV Moquegua 1,522.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADT vs UCV Moquegua
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADT
4-2-3-1- 24S. Peralta
- 77Juan David Lucumí Cuero
- 7J. Rojas
- 16L. Pérez
- 18Aylton Mazzo
- 23J. Narváez
- 59O. Núñez
- 98A. Ramos
- 44H. Benincasa
- 99J. Pereyra
- 30J. Valencia
UCV Moquegua
3-4-3- 8C. Mejía
- 7E. Lastre
- 11B. Angulo
- 4A. Perleche
- 3C. Enciso
- 20D. Ramírez
- 17Y. Zapata
- 13J. Lojas
- 25R. Chipao
- 30J. Granda
- 1C. Grados
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADT have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-5 | Copa De La Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 0-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ADT win, 1 draw, 0 UCV Moquegua wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | ADT 2-0 UCV Moquegua | Copa De La Liga |
| May 9, 2026 | UCV Moquegua 2-2 ADT | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
ADT score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UCV Moquegua | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADT sit 16th in Primera División (26 points from 29 matches) and UCV Moquegua sit 17th (25 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | ADT | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 44 | 26 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 43 | 25 |
A question about ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
- The Footlab AI model makes ADT the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for UCV Moquegua.
- Where and when is ADT vs UCV Moquegua played?
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026UniversitariovsSport Boys
- Oct 28, 2026Sporting CristalvsAlianza Lima
- Oct 28, 2026FBC MelgarvsComerciantes Unidos
- Oct 28, 2026Alianza AtleticovsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 28, 2026CiencianovsAtletico Grau
- Oct 28, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsCusco
- Oct 28, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsSport Huancayo
- Oct 28, 2026FC CajamarcavsUTC Cajamarca