Match

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate FC Cajamarca (1,568) and UTC Cajamarca (1,530).

FC Cajamarca win49 %
Draw24 %
UTC Cajamarca win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Atletico Grau(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Universitario(home)2-3Primera División
Aug 9, 2026FBC Melgar(away)4-2Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Sport Huancayo(home)0-2Primera División
Jul 27, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(away)1-2Primera División
UTC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(home)1-3Primera División
Aug 16, 2026Alianza Lima(away)0-1Primera División
Aug 8, 2026ADT(home)1-1Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Cusco(away)1-4Primera División
Jul 26, 2026UCV Moquegua(home)0-0Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Cajamarca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UTC Cajamarca win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 26, 2026UTC Cajamarca 3-1 FC CajamarcaCopa De La Liga
May 8, 2026UTC Cajamarca 1-2 FC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca on Jun 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca1.51.8013/1510/15
UTC Cajamarca1.11.9210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13UTC Cajamarca17467212618
13UTC Cajamarca17467212618
13FC Cajamarca4112784
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca17458232817
15FC Cajamarca611410144
17UTC Cajamarca4022382
17UTC Cajamarca60244122
17FC Cajamarca235612334221
18UTC Cajamarca234811253815

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for UTC Cajamarca.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca played?
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca

Ready to know everything about football?