Match

FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca

The Footlab AI model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC Cajamarca wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate FC Cajamarca (1,555) and UTC Cajamarca (1,485).

43%25%32%
FC Cajamarca winDrawUTC Cajamarca win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Cajamarca

4-2-3-1
  1. 9P. Cejas
  1. 18Jefferson Gabriel Orejuela Izquierdo
  2. 17B. Palacios
  3. 11M. Arrasco
  4. 20C. Meza
  5. 13C. Correa
  1. 95Y. Vílchez
  2. 31S. Enciso
  3. 44Carlos Daniel Gómez Ccasani
  4. 21J. Vega
  1. 3J. Medina

UTC Cajamarca

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. de Jesús
  1. 10M. Lliuya
  2. 16A. Figuera
  3. 15J. Cerro
  4. 22D. Camacho
  5. 88L. Arce
  1. 35G. Paredes
  2. 2B. Duarte
  3. 6F. Cavagna
  4. 3M. Ganoza
  1. 1Á. Campos

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026ADT(away)0-0Primera División
Sep 19, 2026Cusco(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 12, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away)2-1Primera División
Sep 4, 2026Cienciano(home)2-5Primera División
Aug 28, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(away)3-2Primera División
UTC Cajamarca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sporting Cristal(home)0-1Primera División
Sep 20, 2026Sport Huancayo(away)2-3Primera División
Sep 11, 2026Juan Pablo II College(home)1-2Primera División
Sep 4, 2026Alianza Atletico(away)2-3Primera División
Aug 29, 2026Universitario(home)2-4Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Cajamarca win, 0 draws, 1 UTC Cajamarca win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 26, 2026UTC Cajamarca 3-1 FC CajamarcaCopa De La Liga
May 8, 2026UTC Cajamarca 1-2 FC CajamarcaPrimera División

Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca on Jun 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca1.52.0113/1510/15
UTC Cajamarca1.32.1112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (28 points from 28 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 18th (15 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15FC Cajamarca287714415228
18UTC Cajamarca284816325115

A question about FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for UTC Cajamarca.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca played?
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Cajamarca and UTC Cajamarca

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