FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 14Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for UTC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate FC Cajamarca (1,568) and UTC Cajamarca (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UTC Cajamarca have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitario(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBC Melgar(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADT(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Cajamarca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UTC Cajamarca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca 3-1 FC Cajamarca | Copa De La Liga |
| May 8, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca 1-2 FC Cajamarca | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; UTC Cajamarca score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cajamarca | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and UTC Cajamarca sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 4 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 42 | 21 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca?
- The Footlab model makes FC Cajamarca the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for UTC Cajamarca.
- Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca played?
- FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 28, 2026UniversitariovsSport Boys
- Oct 28, 2026Sporting CristalvsAlianza Lima
- Oct 28, 2026FBC MelgarvsComerciantes Unidos
- Oct 28, 2026Alianza AtleticovsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 28, 2026CiencianovsAtletico Grau
- Oct 28, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsCusco
- Oct 28, 2026ADTvsUCV Moquegua
- Oct 28, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsSport Huancayo