Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Yokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate V-varen Nagasaki (1,910) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).

V-varen Nagasaki win34 %

Draw27 %

Yokohama F. Marinos win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2024	V-varen Nagasaki 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos	Emperor Cup
May 22, 2019	V-varen Nagasaki 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J-League Cup
Apr 10, 2019	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J-League Cup
Nov 10, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
May 19, 2018	Yokohama F. Marinos 5-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Aug 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.