Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,155 vs 2,051).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1- 23S. Ayukawa
- 10A. Suzuki
- 5N. Arai
- 18D. Suga
- 35Y. Nakajima
- 6H. Kawabe
- 11M. Kato
- 4H. Araki
- 15S. Nakano
- 37Kim Ju-Sung
- 1K. Osako
Urawa
4-3-3- 10Matheus Sávio
- 7T. Kaneko
- 45A. Onaiwu
- 12T. Seko
- 25K. Yasui
- 37H. Ueki
- 2Y. Miyamoto
- 3Danilo Boza
- 5K. Nemoto
- 18K. Hayashi
- 1S. Nishikawa
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Urawa have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 4-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 1-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 3-2 | J1 League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 4-0 | J-League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, 0 draws, 2 Urawa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Urawa 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Urawa 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Urawa 3-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Urawa | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd in J1 League (26 points from 12 matches) and Urawa sit 7th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 21 |
A question about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Urawa.
- Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa played?
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 3, 2027V-varen NagasakivsYokohama F. Marinos
- May 3, 2027Nagoya GrampusvsJEF United Chiba
- May 3, 2027Vissel KobevsKashiwa Reysol
- May 3, 2027FC TokyovsShimizu S-pulse
- May 3, 2027Gamba OsakavsKashima
- May 3, 2027Machida ZelviavsKyoto Sanga
- May 3, 2027Mito HollyhockvsAvispa Fukuoka
- May 3, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsCerezo Osaka