Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaUrawa

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,932).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win60 %
Draw22 %
Urawa win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Okinawa SV(home)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Urawa(away)4-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)3-0J1 League
Jul 28, 2026Verspah Oita(home)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Urawa 1-4 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Nov 9, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 UrawaJ1 League
Apr 25, 2025Urawa 1-0 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Nov 10, 2024Urawa 3-0 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Feb 23, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 UrawaJ1 League
Aug 13, 2023Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 UrawaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.31.159/1510/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima3210827
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Urawa.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa played?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Urawa

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