Match

Gamba Osaka vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

Gamba OsakaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kashima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Kashima?

On Elo ratings, Gamba Osaka has 2,046 points and Kashima 2,166.

37%27%36%
Gamba Osaka winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gamba Osaka vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 27R. Mito
  3. 7T. Usami
  4. 13S. Abe
  5. 97Welton Felipe
  1. 4S. Nakatani
  2. 2S. Fukuoka
  3. 47S. Nakano
  4. 15T. Kishimoto
  1. 22J. Ichimori

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 6K. Misao
  3. 10G. Shibasaki
  4. 24H. Hayashu
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 7R. Ogawa
  4. 3Kim Tae-Hyeon
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 12:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kashima have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Newcastle Jets(away)3-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Kashima(away)0-2J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gamba Osaka win, 2 draws, 3 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Kashima 2-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Oct 5, 2025Kashima 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 31, 2025Gamba Osaka 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Jun 26, 2024Kashima 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Apr 28, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-2 KashimaJ1 League
Jun 24, 2023Gamba Osaka 2-1 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Gamba Osaka on Oct 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka1.81.638/159/15
Kashima2.31.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 15th in J1 League (11 points from 12 matches) and Kashima sit 8th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Kashima12624252120
15Gamba Osaka12255142111

A question about Gamba Osaka vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kashima.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Kashima played?
Gamba Osaka vs Kashima is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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