Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka played?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Yokohama F. Marinos win39 %

Draw27 %

Gamba Osaka win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 23, 2025	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Mar 16, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Oct 27, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Gamba Osaka	Emperor Cup
Jul 6, 2024	Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Apr 10, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 12, 2023	Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Sep 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka played?: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka is played on May 9, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.