Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,872).

Tokyo Verdy win27 %

Draw25 %

Cerezo Osaka win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	FC Gifu(home)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Apr 25, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Jul 6, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Mar 9, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Nov 12, 2016	Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Cerezo Osaka	J2 League
Jun 26, 2016	Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy on Jun 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.