Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba played?

Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba?

Nagoya Grampus starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,815).

Nagoya Grampus win53 %

Draw23 %

JEF United Chiba win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Azul Claro Numazu(home)	1-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 26, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 4-2 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Nov 11, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 0-3 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Mar 11, 2017	JEF United Chiba 2-0 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba on Nov 26, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba played?: Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United Chiba is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.