Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs, Valmiera
The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Metta / LU. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Valmiera / BSS (1,735) and Metta / LU (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valmiera / BSS have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Metta / LU have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 12-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 9-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Valmiera / BSS win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Metta / LU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Metta / LU 1-2 Valmiera / BSS | 1. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Metta / LU | Virsliga |
| Jun 20, 2024 | Valmiera / BSS 3-0 Metta / LU | Virsliga |
| May 1, 2024 | Metta / LU 1-1 Valmiera / BSS | Virsliga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Metta / LU 0-2 Valmiera / BSS | Virsliga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Metta / LU 4-1 Valmiera / BSS | Virsliga |
Last archived meeting: Metta / LU vs Valmiera / BSS on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valmiera / BSS score 2.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Metta / LU score 4.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Metta / LU | 4.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valmiera / BSS sit 3rd in 1. Liga (23 points from 10 matches) and Metta / LU sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 25 |
| 1 | Metta / LU | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU?
- The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Metta / LU.
- Where and when is Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU played?
- Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.