Riga FC II vs Skanste: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Skanste. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga FC II vs Skanste?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Riga FC II (1,407) and Skanste (1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga FC II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Skanste have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Riga FC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Skanste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Skanste 2-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Skanste 1-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Riga FC II 0-1 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Skanste 0-1 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Riga FC II 0-0 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Skanste 1-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Skanste score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Skanste | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga FC II sit 9th in 1. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Skanste sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Skanste | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Skanste | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga FC II vs Skanste?
- The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Skanste.
- Where and when is Riga FC II vs Skanste played?
- Riga FC II vs Skanste is played on September 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.