JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera / BSS: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Upesciems pilsētas stadions, Upesciems
The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for JDFS Alberts. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera / BSS?
Valmiera / BSS starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JDFS Alberts have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Valmiera / BSS have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 JDFS Alberts win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Valmiera / BSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS 1-1 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS 0-0 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | JDFS Alberts 0-3 Valmiera / BSS | 1. Liga |
| Aug 13, 2016 | JDFS Alberts 1-6 Valmiera / BSS | 1. Liga |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Valmiera / BSS 3-0 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2015 | Valmiera / BSS 1-0 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valmiera / BSS vs JDFS Alberts on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JDFS Alberts score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valmiera / BSS score 2.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JDFS Alberts | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JDFS Alberts sit 5th in 1. Liga (17 points from 10 matches) and Valmiera / BSS sit 3rd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera / BSS?
- The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for JDFS Alberts.
- Where and when is JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera / BSS played?
- JDFS Alberts vs Valmiera / BSS is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Upesciems pilsētas stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.