Vaprus vs Nõmme United: result 1-0 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pärnu Rannastaadion, Pärnu
Full time
What was the result of Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Vaprus won 1-0 on September 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 51′T. PajoVaprus
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Vaprus win at 44%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Vaprus vs Nõmme United
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Vaprus
- 8T. Pajo
- 10S. Viidas
- 42M. Limberg
- 17S. Kapper
- 20H. Välja
- 24Mathias Villota
- 90J. Sild
- 15K. Aloe
- 28M. Lipp
- 43M. Seppik
- 16O. Nõmm
Nõmme United
- 2Y. Morishige
- 11C. Benjamin
- 20K. Mätas
- 10A. Frolov
- 26K. Oostenbrink
- 49Z. Beglarishvili
- 19I. Krasnov
- 4A. Alteberg
- 50S. Geiger
- 55R. Chanda
- 71G. Pürg
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vaprus have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nõmme United have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kuressaare(away) | 2-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Phoenix(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paide(away) | 1-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hiiumaa(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vaprus wins, 0 draws, 3 Nõmme United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Nõmme United 3-2 Vaprus | Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Vaprus 2-3 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nõmme United 7-1 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Vaprus 7-0 Nõmme United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Nõmme United 0-2 Vaprus | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Vaprus 2-0 Nõmme United | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme United vs Vaprus on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vaprus score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme United score 2.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Nõmme United | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vaprus sit 7th in Meistriliiga (36 points from 32 matches) and Nõmme United sit 9th (31 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 63 | 36 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 32 | 10 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 74 | 31 |
A question about Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy