VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,110).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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