Match

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,110).

VfB Stuttgart win52 %
Draw22 %
Borussia Mönchengladbach win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Fulham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Everton(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Paris FC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)8-1Friendlies Clubs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Aug 30, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Feb 1, 2025VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Sep 14, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 18, 2024VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Jan 14, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart3.11.349/1513/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfB Stuttgart341888714962
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach

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