Match

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgUnion Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

On Elo ratings, FC Augsburg has 2,100 points and Union Berlin 2,009.

58%19%23%
FC Augsburg winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 11M. Gregoritsch
  1. 27M. Wolf
  2. 16Hennes Behrens
  3. 4H. Massengo
  4. 19R. Fellhauer
  5. 32F. Rieder
  6. 21A. Ibrahimović
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 40Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks
  3. 5C. Matsima
  1. 1F. Dahmen

Union Berlin

4-1-2-1-2
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  2. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 6A. Kemlein
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 14L. Querfeld
  4. 18J. Juranović
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 12:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)4-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)3-0Bundesliga
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)4-2DFB Pokal

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg wins, 2 draws, 2 Union Berlin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Union Berlin 4-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Jan 15, 2026FC Augsburg 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
May 17, 2025FC Augsburg 1-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Jan 15, 2025Union Berlin 0-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 12, 2024FC Augsburg 2-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Nov 25, 2023Union Berlin 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.91.8310/1512/15
Union Berlin2.32.5111/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 4th in Bundesliga (7 points from 4 matches) and Union Berlin sit 17th (1 point from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4FC Augsburg42111167
17Union Berlin40134171

A question about FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 58%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin played?
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Augsburg and Union Berlin

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