Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin played?

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Union Berlin

The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,065) and Union Berlin (2,012).

FC Augsburg win42 %

Draw22 %

Union Berlin win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Union Berlin have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Union Berlin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Union Berlin 4-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2026	FC Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
May 17, 2025	FC Augsburg 1-2 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Jan 15, 2025	Union Berlin 0-2 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2024	FC Augsburg 2-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Nov 25, 2023	Union Berlin 1-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Union Berlin sit 11th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?: The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin played?: FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.