Match

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC KölnFC Schalke 04

The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1. FC Köln wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,044) and FC Schalke 04 (2,077).

39%24%37%
1. FC Köln winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1. FC Köln

4-2-3-1
  1. 27T. Dallinga
  1. 5T. Krauß
  2. 6E. Skhiri
  3. 37L. Maina
  4. 47M. Moore
  5. 29J. Thielmann
  1. 24L. Lochoshvili
  2. 22Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
  3. 14G. Mensah
  4. 17A. Castro-Montes
  1. 1M. Schwäbe

FC Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
  1. 9M. Sylla
  1. 8R. Gosens
  2. 24A. Aouchiche
  3. 23S. El-Faouzi
  4. 19K. Karaman
  5. 29J. Dina Ebimbe
  6. 13S. Tanaka
  1. 4H. Kuruçay
  2. 5T. Becker
  3. 25N. Katić
  1. 1L. Karius

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Hamburger SV(away)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Werder Bremen(home)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)1-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-2Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Austria Lustenau(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026SV Elversberg(home)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026Union Berlin(away)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayern München(home)0-0Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026FC Augsburg(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 1. FC Köln wins, 2 draws, 0 FC Schalke 04 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 20251. FC Köln 1-0 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Sep 1, 2024FC Schalke 04 1-3 1. FC Köln2. Bundesliga
Jan 29, 2023FC Schalke 04 0-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
Aug 7, 20221. FC Köln 3-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Jan 27, 20221. FC Köln 2-2 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 20211. FC Köln 1-0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln2.11.9114/1513/15
FC Schalke 041.71.365/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 13th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and FC Schalke 04 sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11FC Schalke 044121345
131. FC Köln4112694

A question about 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?
The Footlab AI model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 played?
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04

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