Match

RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigSV Elversberg

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?

On Elo ratings, RB Leipzig has 2,185 points and SV Elversberg 2,119.

60%21%19%
RB Leipzig winDrawSV Elversberg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 10B. Gruda
  3. 28C. Nkunku
  1. 6E. Banzuzi
  2. 21N. El Aynaoui
  3. 13N. Seiwald
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 3M. Estève
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 42D. Mokwa
  1. 25L. Petkov
  2. 43F. Keidel
  3. 8Ł. Poręba
  4. 39William Cole Campbell
  5. 40Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
  1. 21L. Günther
  2. 30J. Gyamerah
  3. 31M. Rohr
  4. 19L. Pinckert
  1. 20N. Kristof

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; SV Elversberg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
Sep 5, 2026Werder Bremen(away)1-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)3-0Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026FC Schalke 04(away)0-0Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Bayern München(home)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-2Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)3-1DFB Pokal

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 RB Leipzig win, 0 draws, 1 SV Elversberg win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2014RB Leipzig 2-0 SV Elversberg3. Liga
Sep 7, 2013SV Elversberg 1-0 RB Leipzig3. Liga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg on Mar 2, 2014

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig1.91.858/1512/15
SV Elversberg2.51.3411/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 9th in Bundesliga (6 points from 4 matches) and SV Elversberg sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SV Elversberg4211877
9RB Leipzig4202956

A question about RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg played?
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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