Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Paderborn 07 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,096) and Hamburger SV (2,056).

48%24%28%
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 21N. Remberg
  2. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  3. 11A. Grønbæk
  4. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  5. 7Z. El Ouahdi
  6. 20Fábio Vieira
  1. 23J. Torunarigha
  2. 24N. Capaldo
  3. 43S. Nandja
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hamburger SV have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-0Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-5Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 2 draws, 1 Hamburger SV win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2025SC Paderborn 07 2-0 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2024Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
May 10, 2024SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
Dec 9, 2023Hamburger SV 1-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
May 5, 2023Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2022SC Paderborn 07 2-3 Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV on Mar 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 071.51.458/158/15
Hamburger SV1.52.0210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 16th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SC Paderborn 074112354
16Hamburger SV41032133

A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV played?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV

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