Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia BielefeldVfL Osnabrück

The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (1,989) and VfL Osnabrück (2,000).

45%25%30%
Arminia Bielefeld winDrawVfL Osnabrück win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arminia Bielefeld

4-4-2
  1. 10J. Rochelt
  2. 6M. Mehlem
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 14M. Momuluh
  3. 38M. Wörl
  4. 11J. Grodowski
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 7H. Koudossou
  4. 29T. Handwerker
  1. 1J. Kersken

VfL Osnabrück

3-4-2-1
  1. 11R. Meißner
  1. 26F. Wagner
  2. 15B. Jacobsen
  3. 31P. Kammerbauer
  4. 21A. Beck
  5. 42J. Gómez
  6. 8L. Münst
  1. 24J. Müller
  2. 25N. Wiemann
  3. 27R. Fabinski
  1. 32J. Krumrey

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)1-42. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Djurgardens IF(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Oct 2, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Sep 23, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-32. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arminia Bielefeld wins, 2 draws, 0 VfL Osnabrück wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2025VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Oct 20, 2024Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 VfL Osnabrück3. Liga
Aug 15, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
May 17, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Oct 7, 2019VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Feb 18, 2015VfL Osnabrück 0-4 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld2.41.6311/1512/15
VfL Osnabrück2.12.039/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (5 points from 6 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11VfL Osnabrück62139127
13Arminia Bielefeld612310125

A question about Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück?
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück played?
Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück

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