Match

Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas

Atlético MansillésColegios Diocesanos

The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos?

Atlético Mansillés starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,592).

Atlético Mansillés win64 %
Draw23 %
Colegios Diocesanos win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Mansillés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Mojados(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Almazán(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026Almazán(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Palencia CF(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Villaralbo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Mirandés II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Unionistas II(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026Guijuelo(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2025Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Atlético MansillésTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Mansillés0.90.975/153/15
Colegios Diocesanos1.02.138/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Atlético Mansillés3415127312757
13Colegios Diocesanos3410618335436

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos played?
Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Mansillés and Colegios Diocesanos

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