Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, Mansilla de las Mulas
The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos?
Atlético Mansillés starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Mansillés have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Colegios Diocesanos have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mojados(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Mansillés | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Mansillés sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (57 points from 34 matches) and Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlético Mansillés | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 57 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos played?
- Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Mansilla de las Mulas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027GuijuelovsVillaralbo
- Mar 21, 2027BembibrevsPalencia CF
- Mar 21, 2027Cristo AtléticovsCultural Leonesa II
- Mar 21, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsArandina
- Mar 21, 2027Mirandés IIvsUnionistas II
- Mar 21, 2027Salamanca IIvsAlmazán
- Mar 21, 2027TuréganovsBurgos Promesas
- Mar 21, 2027Calasanz de SoriavsUD Santa Marta