Match

Guijuelo vs Villaralbo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo

GuijueloVillaralbo

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Villaralbo?

Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,729).

Guijuelo win62 %
Draw24 %
Villaralbo win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Villaralbo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026Ribert(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Tamaraceite(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Villaralbo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Villaralbo 1-1 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 14, 2025Guijuelo 1-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Villaralbo vs Guijuelo on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guijuelo1.71.3410/159/15
Villaralbo1.11.248/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and Villaralbo sit 11th (42 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guijuelo342176542670
11Villaralbo3411914293742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Villaralbo?
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Guijuelo vs Villaralbo played?
Guijuelo vs Villaralbo is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guijuelo and Villaralbo

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