Vipers vs Police: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Police. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipers vs Police?
Vipers starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,389).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vipers vs Police
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vipers
4-1-4-1- 29M. Karisa
- 6S. Ssentamu
- 12Y. Sentamu
- 10B. Anukani
- 24O. Osomba
- 13M. Kizza
- 20A. Mandela
- 23I. Mubiru
- 4L. Mulondo
- 5M. Juuko
- 1F. Mutombora
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Police have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ntugasaze(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Nouadhibou(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Vipers wins, 1 draw, 0 Police wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Police 0-0 Vipers | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Vipers 4-1 Police | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Police 0-1 Vipers | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Vipers 2-1 Police | Premier League |
| May 21, 2022 | Vipers 5-0 Police | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Police 0-2 Vipers | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vipers score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipers | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Police | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipers sit 5th in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Police sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Vipers vs Police?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipers vs Police?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Police.
- Where and when is Vipers vs Police played?
- Vipers vs Police is played on October 23, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.